First alert for widely scattered showers in western LA today

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BIRMINGHAM, Alabama (WBRC) – Happy Thursday and last day of September! We start the day warm and a little heavy with temperatures between 60 and 60 degrees. Scattered fog is possible in some areas, so slow down if you experience reduced visibility. Any fog forming this morning should be gone by 8-9 a.m. First Alert AccuTrack Satellite and Radar shows cloud cover in central Alabama with a band of showers in parts of the Mississippi. Light rain is expected to shift to parts of western Alabama in the morning and early afternoon. Chances of rain today around 30%. Most of the rains that develop today are expected to stay west of I-65. Areas further east will see less chance of rain today. Expect mostly cloudy skies this afternoon. Temperatures are expected to warm in the upper 70s and lower 80s by noon. Expect high temperatures until the mid-80s with a southeast wind at 5-10 mph. Most of the rains should have fallen by this evening. Expect temperatures in the 70s with mostly dry conditions around 6-7pm.

Mainly dry conditions Friday and Saturday: Heavy rains will likely remain in our west tomorrow and Saturday keeping us mostly dry. We should see partly cloudy to partly sunny skies for both days. Temperatures are expected to stay above average. Morning temperatures will likely start in the upper mid-1960s with highs in the upper mid-1980s. We’ll have a 10% chance of a downpour or storm in far northwest Alabama, but most of us will stay dry. If you have plans for a Friday night, expect partly cloudy skies and muggy weather with temperatures in the 70s. High school football games look great, but this fall will not be like last week.

College Football Weather: The weather is looking fair for all college football games this weekend. Alabama have a big game hosting Ole Miss on Saturday afternoon. Expect partly cloudy skies with temperatures between the 80s and above at kickoff. It should stay mostly dry with temperatures cooling to the lower 80s by the time the game ends. Good idea to apply sunscreen and take a hat and sunglasses. UAB will finally play at home for the first time at Protective Stadium at 6 p.m. against Liberty. The weather should remain dry with partly cloudy skies. Kick-off temperatures are expected to start between the low to mid-80s and cool down to the 70s by the end of the game. Auburn will travel to LSU to play a big game on Saturday night. Expect mostly cloudy skies with stable temperatures between the mid to high 70s. Baton Rouge will be muggy with a slight risk of downpours or isolated thunderstorms.

Next Big Thing: Our next big thing is the arrival of a cold front early next week. Chances of rain are expected to increase in central Alabama from Sunday to Monday. I increased our chance of rain to 30-40% for Sunday as the rain begins to move across western Alabama on Sunday afternoon and evening. Expect increasing cloud cover with slightly cooler temperatures. Highs on Sunday between the low and mid-80s. Temperatures will end even cooler on Monday with highs in the 70s thanks to cloud cover and higher risk of rain. The risk of rain rose to 60% for Monday with a series of scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. You may want to take an umbrella for both days.

Possible risk of rain next week: The weather for next week is still uncertain as patterns come and go on our chances of rain. The GFS is hinting at an upper level stall in the southeast, giving us chances of scattered showers and a few thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday. The European model keeps us dry and cool. I introduced a 30-40% chance of downpours for the middle of next week with temperatures in the 70s above and below 80. Overnight lows could stay in the 60s. tend to be drier, temperatures could get cooler in the morning. Keep checking back with us over the next few days as we refine this forecast.

Tropical Update: We continue to monitor Hurricane Sam in the central Atlantic. It remains a powerful Category 4 hurricane with winds up to 145 mph as it moves northwest at 10-15 mph. There will likely remain a strong hurricane over the next few days as it moves north into the Atlantic Ocean. It could produce threats of waves or rip currents along the east coast by this weekend, but it will not have a direct impact on land. Sam will likely stay east of Bermuda, but they could see showers and gusts of wind from the outer rain bands. Tropical Storm Victor formed last night in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Winds are up to 45 mph as it moves west-northwest at 10-15 mph. It should turn into a hurricane in a few days. The good news with Victor is that it won’t impact the United States. It is expected to move into the North Atlantic early next week. The rest of the tropics remain calm. No immediate threat or concern to the United States over the next five to seven days. Hurricane season officially ends on November 30. Be sure to download the WBRC First Alert weather app for the latest weather information

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